Recent drop rates

EventineElessedil

We never seem to have a shortage of threads discussing horrible drop rates. But how do you explain this? Was I given a surreptitious rate boost as a reward for hitting #1 in arena yesterday?

Whatever the explanation, it sure helps make up for the 0-fer days.

usho1

R N G. Come on ...

EventineElessedil

usho1 wrote: »

R N G. Come on ...

You think so? You could be right. Perhaps daily shard drops are not a good measure of long term rates. It is also possible that I am providing an example of when good things happen in the game to counteract the mostly negative posts about when drops do not go your way.

Admiral_Wh1skers

My RNG is bad lately as well, odd

Shank

I pulled the same drop (4 shards for 5 battles) for Hera last week, felt blessed lol

Dretzle

It's funny. 5 sims for Nihilus every day since they changed it, and I still get 0 or 1 Nihilus shards. I've gotten a good 2 - 5 shards from other nodes, though. /me shrugs.

KyloJarJarBinks

EventineElessedil wrote: »

We never seem to have a shortage of threads discussing horrible drop rates. But how do you explain this? Was I given a surreptitious rate boost as a reward for hitting #1 in arena yesterday?

Whatever the explanation, it sure helps make up for the 0-fer days.

Clearly fixed your drop rates. Patch probably coming in to fix everyone elses.

Metroplex79

It happens.

One day (before recently), I get 0 for 3 in a Hard Mode, the very next day in the same node, I get 3 for 3.

Just like a Cantina farm (12 node), I get just 1 in a refresh (120) for 10 battles. That was a really sad few minutes. Do another refresh to get to 600 for the Guild, and I get 6 out of 10.

Now if I got 0 in the 20 battles, I'd be raging.

DarthBarron

It's all RNG. After tracking 4400+ Canina Battles, daily rates will definitely skew your perspective, especially since the human mind tends to track the negative more than the positive.

EventineElessedil

DarthBarron wrote: »

It's all RNG. After tracking 4400+ Canina Battles, daily rates will definitely skew your perspective, especially since the human mind tends to track the negative more than the positive.

leef

after some investigating i came to the conclusion the screenshot was altered. If what you say is true and you've hit #1 in arena yesterday, you should have gotten 5 out 5. That's how ea/cg keeps the have's on top and the have not's scrambling.

cannon_fodder

DarthBarron wrote: »

It's all RNG. After tracking 4400+ Canina Battles, daily rates will definitely skew your perspective, especially since the human mind tends to track the negative more than the positive.

This, but man do those 4/50 and 3/50 days on Cuffs really stick with you.

NicWester

DarthBarron wrote: »

It's all RNG. After tracking 4400+ Canina Battles, daily rates will definitely skew your perspective, especially since the human mind tends to track the negative more than the positive.

Especially since the droprate isn't 50%.

Since there are two outcomes (Get a shard, don't get a shard) our puny meatbrains perceive that the droprate should be 50/50. Even though we know getting 4 shards out of 10 runs is great luck, we still think we're unlucky.

Kevern_Zaksor

I just got 4 shards/4 attempts on Old Ben in Cantina battles, then 2/4, then 3/3. Took screenshots of the first and last. It was beautiful

GoodOlMaurice

Moved to the appropriate sub forum. Feedback>LS/DS/Cantina Battles

usho1

I got 4 zetas, 0 sabine shards on main, 5 sabine shards 1 zeta on alt. Pure rng

EventineElessedil

GoodOlMaurice wrote: »

Moved to the appropriate sub forum. Feedback>LS/DS/Cantina Battles

Thanks Maurice!
Sadly, I went 0-fer on shards today.

Sel_See_Us

I have used all my cantina energy for the last 36 hours, 2 sets of bo us energy, and 1 refresh. How is it possible that I got zero shards, running the same battle, in all that time? Starting to think rng is broken in cantina. Anyone else have this problem over the last 36 hours? I have never seen it this bad before! Been playing well over a year now. Just to clarify the math for everyone, 36 hours is 180 energy, 2 bonus energy sets is another 90, and 1 refresh for 122 energy, if I remember correctly. That is a total of 392 cantina energy spent on the same battle over the last 36 hours. I'm running Kylo's shard battle at 12 cantina energy per run, for a grand total of 32 attempts. If I stay with the math, and I finally get a shard on my next battle, that would make he drop rate 68% or less.......can that be right?

EventineElessedil

Sel_See_Us wrote: »

I have used all my cantina energy for the last 36 hours, 2 sets of bo us energy, and 1 refresh. How is it possible that I got zero shards, running the same battle, in all that time? Starting to think rng is broken in cantina. Anyone else have this problem over the last 36 hours? I have never seen it this bad before! Been playing well over a year now. Just to clarify the math for everyone, 36 hours is 180 energy, 2 bonus energy sets is another 90, and 1 refresh for 122 energy, if I remember correctly. That is a total of 392 cantina energy spent on the same battle over the last 36 hours. I'm running Kylo's shard battle at 12 cantina energy per run, for a grand total of 32 attempts. If I stay with the math, and I finally get a shard on my next battle, that would make he drop rate 68% or less.......can that be right?

If you get a shard on your next battle, that will be 1 shard out of 33 attempts. 1/33 = 0.03 = 3%. Not sure how you came up with 68%.

Sel_See_Us

Hmm it would seem that the odds have gotten even worse lol so 3% of the time, if I'm not misunderstanding, I get shards from cantina........still feel like something is wrong with drop rate. Thanks for correcting my math though :-)

Sel_See_Us

EventineElessedil wrote: »

Sel_See_Us wrote: »

I have used all my cantina energy for the last 36 hours, 2 sets of bo us energy, and 1 refresh. How is it possible that I got zero shards, running the same battle, in all that time? Starting to think rng is broken in cantina. Anyone else have this problem over the last 36 hours? I have never seen it this bad before! Been playing well over a year now. Just to clarify the math for everyone, 36 hours is 180 energy, 2 bonus energy sets is another 90, and 1 refresh for 122 energy, if I remember correctly. That is a total of 392 cantina energy spent on the same battle over the last 36 hours. I'm running Kylo's shard battle at 12 cantina energy per run, for a grand total of 32 attempts. If I stay with the math, and I finally get a shard on my next battle, that would make he drop rate 68% or less.......can that be right?

If you get a shard on your next battle, that will be 1 shard out of 33 attempts. 1/33 = 0.03 = 3%. Not sure how you came up with 68%.

Pretty sure I based that number out of 100 attempts, that would get me up to 68%

EventineElessedil

so ... 100-32 = 68%?
The only way that number (68%) would prove to be true is if you gained 68 shards out of your next 68 attempts. That's not going to happen, but I wish you the best of luck in making that dream come true.
Look at it this way: if you get a shard on attempt 33, you will have had success only 1 time out of 33 tries. If this pattern holds and you try 33 more times, you will get one more shard. A final 33 attempts will give you another 1 shard. Total attempts = 99, total shards = 3.
That's basically 3 shards out of 100 tries. 3/100 = 3%

For homework tonight, take note of your drop rate over the next 33 attempts and report back. Odds are that you will get more than 1 shard. In fact, I would expect closer to 10 or more.

Sel_See_Us

Thanks for the reply, I hope you are right, I'll let you know how it goes

Sel_See_Us

So, after my 34th failed attempt, I decided to use a refresh again, and throw it all into the first location. It was a very tense moment lol but I did indeed get the 3 shards I was waiting for. Not sure if this will help anyone else or not who had the same problem, but there it is.

Demos1178

500 energy. 5 days in a row. 5 battles each day at 20 energy each. 0 shards for Nihilus.

I understand EA wants to make money but that kind of droprate is complete ****. No one says the packs are a good investment because EA has pathetically low droprate. 1299 crystals = 5 shards. No one pulls the 330. It's a deceitful practice.