Don' take down this is just a question

Daenight

So, for retreating is it really 40%? Because I just could not retreat after trying about 6 times... now statistically that means a 0.4096% chance of that happening... which statistically speaking means impossible... since anything less than 5% is considered unusual. So... EA? Answers please?

The_boss_350

I am not ea but I think there is something wrong, your character should go at least the second time statistically and possible a third time but not the 4th. I don’t say it’s impossible but your are incredibly unlucky because it’s pretty rare that can happen. Just contact them to ask them

Kyno

Firstly there is no reason this would be taken down, so ok.

Each chance to retreat is 40% and independent of each other. 6 is a small sample size to start judging any statistic. I can flip a coin 6 times and get the same side each flip. While unlikely it's most assuredly not impossible, even statistical speaking.

The_boss_350

So you’re saying it’s like a dice with 6 sides and 1 chance on 6 to have a number and 1/36 to have this case with retreat thing.

Liath

(.6)^6 = 4.66%, not .4%.

Darthheide

Daenight wrote: »

So, for retreating is it really 40%? Because I just could not retreat after trying about 6 times... now statistically that means a 0.4096% chance of that happening... which statistically speaking means impossible... since anything less than 5% is considered unusual. So... EA? Answers please?

Your basing this on a repeated probability formula when each event should calculated different agreed this shouldn't happen but I've had it happen as well it's frustrating I would like a better answer as well on how their retreat formula works

Ploosh

I’ve definitely had worse than 6 failed retreats in a row. Bad luck but definitely WAI. It doesn’t happen often.

KnightRK

It is works like this: 0% - 40% possibility to retreat....

NicWester

Ever play D&D? The odds of missing on 6 consecutive retreats are nearly the same as rolling a critical hit. Happens all the time.

AleSahnDroh_1979

The 40% chance is for the single attempt.
Every next attempt has again 40% chance of success.
In last HAAT I had 4-5 successful excapes in P1 and 6 failed in a row in P3....