Since they allowed us (I feel so honoured) to do 8 Battles a day on hard nodes as opposed to 5 in the meantime, my Talzin drop rate is making me feel ill. I used to feel bad enough wasting 100 regular energy and getting zero shards, that feeling is only heightened when I spend 160 regular energy and get zero shards just the same, it makes me hate this game at times. Hate is a strong word.
Probabilities are probabilities, still. Assuming a 30% drop rate, which is a fairly reasonable estimate, you will get zero shards in eight tries about 5% of the time. I know the last few days, my cantina drop rates have been pretty awful, but that's just bad rolls, not actually changing the drop rate.
It's part of the reason most of the odds are unposted (a policy I am not a fan of). It's also a reason a lot of games will lie about odds or use non-random/less-random results that feel more right to our biologically-bad-at-statistics brains.
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It's part of the reason most of the odds are unposted (a policy I am not a fan of). It's also a reason a lot of games will lie about odds or use non-random/less-random results that feel more right to our biologically-bad-at-statistics brains.