The later you join a raid during the no attack period the better your chances are to have a higher reward seed. So if you always post 0's you will more likely get a higher seed, and if you always tie for first, your rank seed determines who places higher.
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You are given a number between 1 and 50 when you join the raid. Sure you have "better odds" of getting a number(but you are going to get one anyway). 1 in 50 if you are the first to join vs 1 in 40 if you are the 11th to join, but if the first 10 to join happen to get 1-10, the best number you can get when you join is 11.
Its random and when you pick your number doesnt increase your odds of getting a better position.
And I know how random works. I also know how fractions work and 1/50 has a much higher percent chance then 1/2 to the power of 49. If you join first each person who joins after you has a 50% chance of seeding higher then you.
Sorry but that seems way out to lunch,
It 100% is a random number from 1 to 50 assigned to you when you join or hit the raid.
Then everyone is sorted by the damage done as a first sort and the number given as the second sort.
The number you are given does not change once it is assigned for that raid.