9/15 attempts on Nest.
So on an 80% chance node I am currently achieving less than 66% success.
Small sample though.
Update,
Bought a refresh.
Ran Nest again 1/1.
So on Nest I achieved 10/16.
62.5% success at an 80% chance.
Then ran Young Lando and achieved 5/6.
83.3% success at a 64% chance
So 416 energy spent for 15 shards.
At 4% I should be at 16.6 shares.
Just below average now.
Still a small sample but averaging out as it should.
Of 3000 energy used, I made 15 pulls with an average of 7.33 blueprints per 200 (I did all 10 nodes). That’s slightly worse than the simulation of 6.4 per 160 pull.
The drop rate in fleet nodes for ECS is exactly what CG said it would be. Everyone in my guild is getting between 6/8 and 8/8 when they sim the 20 energy nodes.
Mines been very close to 4%. I unlocked it and am 15/65 to 5* with about 2500 energy spent. While I’m lagging the percentages I feel so much better knowing the good people at CG can put food on the table for another night
I enjoy these threads about rng. I'm actually right on the 4% right now at 43 in 1056 energy. But rng can be a misunderstood and may not be random at all. A few years ago a couple of friends and I walked into a casino in Vegas. They were just taking the ropes down on a large group of slot machines. They're random right? Not exactly. We proceeded to figure out the pattern and took every one of those machines for $28.50. That's factoring the money we had to put into it too. I was a bit surprised they didnt kick us out. rng is getting better but do I ever trust it? Not a chance. Oh and my rng drop rate on all other fleet energy shards today? Exactly 25%. Sion was higher (50% on 8 sims) and Sith fighter (12.5% with 16 sims) lower but it worked out to 14 shards in 56 sims.. so whoever got their 41% drop rate to get the supposed average claimed here, I'd say your welcome but wouldn't mean it... Give me back my shards!!!
I enjoy these threads about rng. I'm actually right on the 4% right now at 43 in 1056 energy. But rng can be a misunderstood and may not be random at all. A few years ago a couple of friends and I walked into a casino in Vegas. They were just taking the ropes down on a large group of slot machines. They're random right? Not exactly. We proceeded to figure out the pattern and took every one of those machines for $28.50. That's factoring the money we had to put into it too. I was a bit surprised they didnt kick us out. rng is getting better but do I ever trust it? Not a chance. Oh and my rng drop rate on all other fleet energy shards today? Exactly 25%. Sion was higher (50% on 8 sims) and Sith fighter (12.5% with 16 sims) lower but it worked out to 14 shards in 56 sims.. so whoever got their 41% drop rate to get the supposed average claimed here, I'd say your welcome but wouldn't mean it... Give me back my shards!!!
Rng is not truely rng in games. It's kinda random enough. It pulls out of a set of patterns repeated endlessly and gets handed out to whomever is the next in line. Since you are not the only one pulling it, the overall result is a statistical distribution that closes up to the intended droprate as the samples get higher.
Removed a few comments that were stemming from one comment that wasn't okay. Feel free to carry on the conversation but let's please keep it respectful, tyvm.
I'm currently at 150 shards / 3,698 energy spent - a drop rate of 4.05%, so that marries up with the published drop rate of 4%.
I'm on track to finish this cycle at 170-171 shards (25 or 26/85), which puts me in good stead to 7* it if the next cycle is also 5 days. I sense that the CG swifty will be pulled and they'll make the next cycle 4 days rather than 5, because the accountants won't like players maxing it within two cycles.
My crystal investment for this cycle will be:
- 800 crystals to preload energy (6 x 100 + 200)
- 600 crystals for the energy pack
- 1,500 in energy refreshes (5 x 3 x 100)
That's a total of 2,900 crystals for let's say - 170 shards. All up, an investment of 17.06 crystals per shard. I think that's a very good ROI compared to most shard farms.
Replies
Update,
Bought a refresh.
Ran Nest again 1/1.
So on Nest I achieved 10/16.
62.5% success at an 80% chance.
Then ran Young Lando and achieved 5/6.
83.3% success at a 64% chance
So 416 energy spent for 15 shards.
At 4% I should be at 16.6 shares.
Just below average now.
Still a small sample but averaging out as it should.
*edit, added success chances
Got em
Then I add 4 more, I got 2.
And 4 more, got 0...
Rng is not truely rng in games. It's kinda random enough. It pulls out of a set of patterns repeated endlessly and gets handed out to whomever is the next in line. Since you are not the only one pulling it, the overall result is a statistical distribution that closes up to the intended droprate as the samples get higher.
9x 10 energy 7 shards +4 stun gun salv today
Bought 600 ship energy today:
Got 24 shards + 20 stun gun salv
A fairly reasonable price tbh, for the gun salv alone.
I'm on track to finish this cycle at 170-171 shards (25 or 26/85), which puts me in good stead to 7* it if the next cycle is also 5 days. I sense that the CG swifty will be pulled and they'll make the next cycle 4 days rather than 5, because the accountants won't like players maxing it within two cycles.
My crystal investment for this cycle will be:
- 800 crystals to preload energy (6 x 100 + 200)
- 600 crystals for the energy pack
- 1,500 in energy refreshes (5 x 3 x 100)
That's a total of 2,900 crystals for let's say - 170 shards. All up, an investment of 17.06 crystals per shard. I think that's a very good ROI compared to most shard farms.
Usually I got 1 bastilla shard and 3 ep shuttle shard every 5 attempt...