Since the arrival of weekly shipments I started saving all my ally tokens to buy the really good stuff (before we started getting hit with the trash we get now) and today i was like screw it I've got like 200,000 tokens saved up and there hasn't been anything worth buying with them from the weekly shipments for a long time so i decided to start spending them at the store for the heck of it. I suddenly started getting character shards like crazy some in bundles of 50 which never happened to me before and i barely spend more than a few thousand. Is this just luck or does having enough ally points increase the odds of getting some decent stuff from the store?
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Have the devs said this anywhere? Because I have this to be completely untrue. I’ve spent upwards of 100-150k on bronziums in a row many many times and my character pulls have been slim to none.
Thats how odds work. The more tries the better chance of getting something worth while. And of course it involves rng. If I buy enough lottery tickets im sure to win on one, may not be the best winner.
That’s not how it works here. Every character pull has a set percentage for a drop rate. If (hypothetically) the drop rate is 10%, it’s 1/10 across each pull. Yeah, if you spend 10 pulls you have a better chance of getting MORE shards because you’re buying more, your odds don’t increase to 100% just because you bought 10. The lottery analogy isn’t appropriate because there’s a finite amount of lottery tickets sold, so you do increase your chances with each ticket. There’s infinite bronziums in this game, so your drop rate per pull is still the same.
Unless I’m misunderstanding what you’re saying, it seems like you’re saying the more you pull, the higher the drop rate becomes, which isn’t true.
The more pulls the more chances...
Thats great but I still wont say” your right” with an argument you created. Seems thats what your looking for here. The more pulls the better the chances of hitting the payout .
It’s the same as farming shards from nodes, each sim is still the 30% drop rate. Simming 7 and gettting 0 shards doesn’t guarantee the next 3 will give you 3 shards.
r/IdontThinkThatsMaths
He's right.
If there are only ten possible outcomes, one ticket for each of those outcomes, and you have two tickets, yes is goes from 1/10 to 2/10 as you have the tickets for twenty percent of the outcomes.
This is different to, say a 1 in 100 chance to pull a full character from a bronzium. If you buy 100 bronziums, you can get 1, 10, 23, 100 full characters. Each bronzium you buy has a 1/100 chance of dropping a bronzium. If you pull 99/100 without a full character, you are not guaranteed one on the 100th pull.
Odds of pulling character shards do not change the more bronziums you buy. Yes, you may see more due to the volume of ally points spent, but each one is no more or less likely to give you shards than the free bronziums each day.
OP, just luck. Enjoy it while it lasts.
The lottery analogy is correct.... Since when is there a finite number of lottery tickets sold?....
When they stop selling them before the drawing.
Huh?..... That's a raffle, not a lottery.....lotteries like Powerball etc do not have limited tickets.. .
They stop selling tickets for a drawing before the drawing happens, otherwise people could watch the drawing and then go buy tickets for that drawing.
https://heavy.com/news/2018/01/powerball-cutoff-time-how-late-buy-ticket-2018/
Sure...... But the tix are unlimited before that...... Not sure why why you want to argue semantics.....
It's very simple....
The more 7* bronzium toons you have, the greater your chance of getting a full toon pull
The more points you spend to spin the wheel, the greater your chances of getting shards....
It's not rocket surgery.....
That’s true, but that’s not what he’s saying. He’s saying the bronziums you spend at one time, you increase your chances for a toon pull. That’s not how it works. Each pull has its own flat chance and it doesn’t increase that drop rate just because you pulled more than 1.
Thats what you believe I’m saying...
Its very simple
A: pull bronzium once, record number of shards collected.
B: pull bronzium 1000 times, record number of shards collected.
If B is greater than A then yes more pulls gets you more shards.
That is what you said, “The more spins you take increase your chance of shards. The large bundles are meant to be character unlocks.”
Not that you get more shards pulling more cards, but that you *increase chances* of shards. There’s an difference.
But whatever, I’m over this thread.
The more spins you take increase the possibility of you having copies of the shards. The chance of obtaining a shard per pull doesn't change, but the possibility to you owning any of the shards goes up with the amount of pulls you have done.