Drop rate chance
June 11, 2019 2:06AM
edited June 2019
Is the drop rate been lowered? I am suffering multiple zonk. From 15x sim (3 refresh) I usually got 2 shards only from double drops. Another 2 attempt was 0 shard drop. How about you guys?
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Replies
The funny part us they say it , but no one puts forth any data that actually shows this....
I’d say RNG but I tracked it this time as I felt like drops were terrible the last time double was happening. IMO the drop rate is lowered. I’ve been getting 5or 6 per day not using any crystals on refreshes (just the energy I gain normally).
Nope.
RNG buddy chill.
Rats....checking out then
The statistics of unlikely events are very swingy.
GoH uses fair dice and unlikely events (1/3 chance to get a shard).
As a result, some people get bad runs and bad distributions some amount of the time.
That subset of people are the ones who are liable to get angry and post about it on the forums. Especially for something like a three day double drop event, which gives high profile narrow sample sizes.
You got unlucky in the thing you were hyper focused on. I got this:
It's part of how randomness works.
The patents are all the data you need.
No I have never noticed that. Sure there have been times when I am close to completing something and it has gone cold but there have been just as many times it has been hot for those last few shards.
And deal with it. Once you know, you will have fun predicting if you will have 0 or 2 shards !
It means too many people don't understand probability. And there has never been a greater proof of that than this forum.
You know statistically like 50% of the people here will have experience lower drop rates simply because with a small sample size very few results are gonna be anywhere close to the average.
Idk what you guys expect. The people who complain about drops are the f2p ones who can't make up for the bad drops by paying. Do you really expect f2p to have the luxury of actually keeping track of data daily when they are still catching up with their farms for previous characters? These are large projects that usually cost crystals and someone who's f2p can't afford in the first place
Funny that when ever someone is criticising something in this game, you always gotta jump to the defense on every post.....
Fanboy is not the word
This has nothing to do with probability, so please don't use this post to try to RIP on and make people look stupid.
This is a complaint that about the company decreasing drop rates deliberately and if you dont wanna believe that it, then dont!
There are plenty of naive people out there who never believe something that they personally didnt discover or they personally didnt notice first, that doesnt mean something isn't true...
The company is (when compared to other mobile games) extremely mean to its player base and have a history of over charging for packs, over charging for new character's, a complete lack of beneficial events that actually help you progress.
A company that keeps its players in the dark and give little to no communication until the "game changers" all start to make video's about this game being stale and losing its player base.
That being said, I think it makes complete sense that a company with this type of history would make that type of a business move.
I personally think the drop rates are absolutely awful for shards and I truly wish they was better so I could concentrate on leveling up teams I want rather than chasing the meta and side farming the ones I actually want.
I agree they have to make money, but no one has to be greedy about it, and when I see company's care more about profit than actually satisfying its player base, then I know it's a company in decline.
I hate to say it but its typical EA, they used to make the best of the best when it comes to games, now they get ridicule from the players who used to love them, and that's because profit seems to trump the love that the devs used to have for making games, feels like the love is gone and now it's all for profit.
How many battles? How many shards dropped? That's all that matters, when calculating drop rate. Days passed, refreshes done and crystals spent is irrelevant.
What's funny to me is comments like yours while i'm really enjoying the double drops.
Seriously though, haven't you ever been not unlucky during double drops? I've played long enough to have experienced quite a few double drop events and overall they've been awesome.
f2p this f2p that, haha.
Man, just give it a rest already. We know you're f2p and that you think you're really struggling because of that. In reality you've got a decent roster and are doing great overall, so just quit the whining ffs.