I know i'm not the only one who gets screwed over every time these "double" drops come around. Whether it's gear or shards the drop chances drop in half at best. I just went 4 for 29 on farming gear.
I'm aware it's not shards this time, but the drop rate definitely changes. I went from getting 3-5 gear pieces out of 10 sims to getting 4 for 29 and 1 for 20 on my most recent sims.
I'm aware it's not shards this time, but the drop rate definitely changes. I went from getting 3-5 gear pieces out of 10 sims to getting 4 for 29 and 1 for 20 on my most recent sims.
Except that it doesn’t change. You just happened to get unlucky. My gear drops have been great.
Unlucky would be it happening 2 maybe 3 times. This is something i've noticed since in "double" drops for awhile now. Every single time i've dropped from about 25-30% avg drop rate to a 10-15% drop rate. I've actually done the math over an extended period of time so keep your opinions out of it. I've also had some good drops but then as FolsomTony shows you go right back to zip
Unlucky would be it happening 2 maybe 3 times. This is something i've noticed since in "double" drops for awhile now. Every single time i've dropped from about 25-30% avg drop rate to a 10-15% drop rate. I've actually done the math over an extended period of time so keep your opinions out of it. I've also had some good drops but then as FolsomTony shows you go right back to zip
No statistical data to back it up (since nobody except developers has ), but my observation shows decent drop rates the first few times and now I hardly get any.
Specifically before I had about 3-4 per 12. Now I have 1-2 per 12 (with double drops)
Kyno, do your own stats. You don't have to believe me but I would recommend starting to track it. Obviously everyone's will differ due to the "luck" factor.
I know i'm not the only one who gets screwed over every time these "double" drops come around. Whether it's gear or shards the drop chances drop in half at best. I just went 4 for 29 on farming gear.
You're going to get minimal support on this issue, since the forum regulars have a copy and paste response to these posts. However, I'll have to say that I notice this trend as well. However again, you'll get no love from most people here. And with that, there will be no change, because $.
Of course, let ignore the fact that EA holds a patent to do exactly that.
Drop rates don't change, but the drop rate is pretty volatile due to rng. When there's a small 2-3 day window for double drops there's a good chance you're going to get at least one day where nothing drops.
Unlucky would be it happening 2 maybe 3 times. This is something i've noticed since in "double" drops for awhile now. Every single time i've dropped from about 25-30% avg drop rate to a 10-15% drop rate. I've actually done the math over an extended period of time so keep your opinions out of it. I've also had some good drops but then as FolsomTony shows you go right back to zip
You are not the only one who did math. I have a degree in physic and math was a big part of it.
If you indeed did some math you would know that when you got about 30% of getting something, you have 70% of not getting anything, which mean 49% of not getting anything twice in a row and 34.3% of 3 times in a row, 24.01% 4 times in a row, 16.807% 5 times in a row, 11.7649% for 6 time etc...
How many people play this game? tens/hundreds thousands? now how many posts like this you see? dozens/hundreds?
So out of that many people it is reasonable that a certain number would have lousy luck for a period of time
I had times when I got 80% success and times when I got 0%, and no the success times does not always come before the failing ones.
People should stop Whining. It's hurt everybody, because at the end, just with the kid who cried "wolf wolf", nobody belive when the wolve does come
Replies
Also, you won't get bonus drops on shards this time, normal nodes only.
Except that it doesn’t change. You just happened to get unlucky. My gear drops have been great.
Got this, then an 0/12.
We would love to see your data on this.
Specifically before I had about 3-4 per 12. Now I have 1-2 per 12 (with double drops)
Confirmation bias is fun.
Actually that would be more of a selection bias.
Anyway, I just simmed 11 on fleet. Went 5/11, so 10 salvage. No asterisk needed.
saying it != data
My data says otherwise.
You must have got the first one in right before the drop rate changed
You're going to get minimal support on this issue, since the forum regulars have a copy and paste response to these posts. However, I'll have to say that I notice this trend as well. However again, you'll get no love from most people here. And with that, there will be no change, because $.
Of course, let ignore the fact that EA holds a patent to do exactly that.
You show me your data I'll show you mine. 😘
You are not the only one who did math. I have a degree in physic and math was a big part of it.
If you indeed did some math you would know that when you got about 30% of getting something, you have 70% of not getting anything, which mean 49% of not getting anything twice in a row and 34.3% of 3 times in a row, 24.01% 4 times in a row, 16.807% 5 times in a row, 11.7649% for 6 time etc...
How many people play this game? tens/hundreds thousands? now how many posts like this you see? dozens/hundreds?
So out of that many people it is reasonable that a certain number would have lousy luck for a period of time
I had times when I got 80% success and times when I got 0%, and no the success times does not always come before the failing ones.
People should stop Whining. It's hurt everybody, because at the end, just with the kid who cried "wolf wolf", nobody belive when the wolve does come