Drop Rate SCAMS

Myrandomappletree

i'm currently farming for executer, i have every ship at 7 stars, except for Tie Bomber, which is 11 Shards away. For the past 4 days i have been doing 3 refreshes a day, or a total of 20 battles on this node. And normally I would receive 4 or less shards a day, but today, i went 15 straight battles without receiving a single shard. please fix your drop rates, i don't know valour everyone else but i would much rather have higher drop rates than double shards, thanks

Whatelse73

That's what we that are effected by it call "RNG" or as CG refers to it legally, "Surprise Mechanics".

AlexanderG

Annoying for you but really just (very) short-term bad RNG.

NicWester

Random number generators generate numbers randomly.

TVF

Drop rate is approximately 20%

Ghost666

TVF wrote: »

Drop rate is approximately 20%

Based on what? Is there any "offcial" document with expected drop rates? I know how stats work...but would like to know the numbers to make better decisions...

TVF

Based on community tracked data.

And sorry, I was thinking of gear. Shards and blueprints are around 33%.

UdalCuain

Ghost666 wrote: »

TVF wrote: »

Drop rate is approximately 20%

Based on what? Is there any "offcial" document with expected drop rates? I know how stats work...but would like to know the numbers to make better decisions...

https://forums.galaxy-of-heroes.starwars.ea.com/discussion/244510/forum-faq-by-the-players-for-the-players#latest Section 2.1 has links to community tracked data.

StewartH

I pulled 8 shards of Hux yesterday on 5 runs. I was pumped. Has anyone ever pulled 10 shards on 5 runs?

WookieWookie

StewartH wrote: »

I pulled 8 shards of Hux yesterday on 5 runs. I was pumped. Has anyone ever pulled 10 shards on 5 runs?

I've done it. I've also gone 0/5 on double drops, but I leave my tin foil hat at home rather than run screaming to the forums. Funny how no one who hits the RNG lotto comes onto the forums to complain about 'rigged drop rates' awarding them fully crafted pieces for placing in the HSR top 10 multiple weeks in a row. It's almost like confirmation bias exists.

OP chill bro. Record your drops and attempts in an Excel/Sheets spreadsheet for a month and I bet you'll have an average of 30% drop rate +/-5%.

Ragnarok_COTF

Ragnarok_COTF

Seriously though, there's been tons of tracked data on this. There is no evidence of foul play on CG's part when it comes to shard drops.

NicWester

What's the drop rate on Kyrotech stuff? 20%?

Asking because I've had the worst run of luck trying to get one (1!!) last computer and want to know how astronomical the likelihood of this run has been. I'm currently at 16 sims with nothing--also nothing in any of the stores for the past 3 days. As much as I want this last computer, I also kind of want to see how long I can make this bad luck last...

TVF

Afaik yes 20%

UdalCuain

NicWester wrote: »

What's the drop rate on Kyrotech stuff? 20%?

Asking because I've had the worst run of luck trying to get one (1!!) last computer and want to know how astronomical the likelihood of this run has been. I'm currently at 16 sims with nothing--also nothing in any of the stores for the past 3 days. As much as I want this last computer, I also kind of want to see how long I can make this bad luck last...

UdalCuain wrote: »

Ghost666 wrote: »

TVF wrote: »

Drop rate is approximately 20%

Based on what? Is there any "offcial" document with expected drop rates? I know how stats work...but would like to know the numbers to make better decisions...

https://forums.galaxy-of-heroes.starwars.ea.com/discussion/244510/forum-faq-by-the-players-for-the-players#latest Section 2.1 has links to community tracked data.

There's some kyrotech tracker data there too, can't remember the sample size etc, but 20% seems correct.

Granolo

I needed 4 shards on a ship today for 7* and I was pretty sure with my luck I was going to get 0 drops out of 10 tries.

I simmed 5 and got 6 shards.

So yeah, drop your tin foil hats. It's just randomness, which usually draws our atention only on bad drops. as Wookie says, no one that gets 10 shards out of 5 sims comes here complaining of the rng (I've pulled those before too btw, at least once).

Lumiya

Granolo wrote: »

I needed 4 shards on a ship today for 7* and I was pretty sure with my luck I was going to get 0 drops out of 10 tries.

I simmed 5 and got 6 shards.

So yeah, drop your tin foil hats. It's just randomness, which usually draws our atention only on bad drops. as Wookie says, no one that gets 10 shards out of 5 sims comes here complaining of the rng (I've pulled those before too btw, at least once).

How can you get 6 shards in 5 sims if the they are just single drops? The max would be 5.

Lumiya

Edit to add: But I do agree in general that I also do not believe the drop rates are rigged.

Granolo

Lumiya wrote: »

Granolo wrote: »

I needed 4 shards on a ship today for 7* and I was pretty sure with my luck I was going to get 0 drops out of 10 tries.

I simmed 5 and got 6 shards.

So yeah, drop your tin foil hats. It's just randomness, which usually draws our atention only on bad drops. as Wookie says, no one that gets 10 shards out of 5 sims comes here complaining of the rng (I've pulled those before too btw, at least once).

How can you get 6 shards in 5 sims if the they are just single drops? The max would be 5.

Sorry, typo, it was 4 shards, not 6

TVF

Granolo wrote: »

Lumiya wrote: »

Granolo wrote: »

I needed 4 shards on a ship today for 7* and I was pretty sure with my luck I was going to get 0 drops out of 10 tries.

I simmed 5 and got 6 shards.

So yeah, drop your tin foil hats. It's just randomness, which usually draws our atention only on bad drops. as Wookie says, no one that gets 10 shards out of 5 sims comes here complaining of the rng (I've pulled those before too btw, at least once).

How can you get 6 shards in 5 sims if the they are just single drops? The max would be 5.

Sorry, typo, it was 4 shards, not 6

Proof of nerf!

Gifafi

Update on shards, op?

Admiral_Piett

Myrandomappletree wrote: »

i'm currently farming for executer, i have every ship at 7 stars, except for Tie Bomber, which is 11 Shards away. For the past 4 days i have been doing 3 refreshes a day, or a total of 20 battles on this node. And normally I would receive 4 or less shards a day, but today, i went 15 straight battles without receiving a single shard. please fix your drop rates, i don't know valour everyone else but i would much rather have higher drop rates than double shards, thanks

Welcome To an EA Game where they value Money over Players happiness

laxkings40

StewartH wrote: »

I pulled 8 shards of Hux yesterday on 5 runs. I was pumped. Has anyone ever pulled 10 shards on 5 runs?

I just got ten shards of Kuill yesterday

MaruMaru

Admiral_Piett wrote: »

Myrandomappletree wrote: »

i'm currently farming for executer, i have every ship at 7 stars, except for Tie Bomber, which is 11 Shards away. For the past 4 days i have been doing 3 refreshes a day, or a total of 20 battles on this node. And normally I would receive 4 or less shards a day, but today, i went 15 straight battles without receiving a single shard. please fix your drop rates, i don't know valour everyone else but i would much rather have higher drop rates than double shards, thanks

Welcome To an EA Game where they value Money over Players happiness

Or just unfounded player bias.