Edit: without doubledrop it would be 9.6%, but there is a good thread about the law of large numbers in Gerneral right now, so you maybe wanna check it out.
I have terrible luck when it comes to Light Side and Dark Side hard nodes during double drops. But at least I don't really have to worry about it for the Nightsisters. I already got Talia to 7 stars. I just need Old Daka from Light and Dark Side nodes, but I can get Old Daka shards from the Cantina Battles store too. I still need Acolyte though. Only have her at 2 stars. So I can farm for her shards and get a bunch of Cantina Battle tokens from Acolyte's node since you get double tokens from the node as well. So if don't get anything from Daka's hard node, I can still turn to the Cantina Battle store. My only major problem is getting Acolyte shards from her Cantina Battle node. And I get shards maybe once every 5-6 times I SIM the node. But at least there is unlimited attempts. I can go until I run out of energy and crystals, although I stop spending crystals once it cost 200 crystals for Cantina energy refresh. Plus I try to stay above 150 crystals.
i need only acolyte shards. The other toons are 7 star. But i have no luck with the douple drop an refreshes for acolyte.. i need 20 shards now to bring her to 5 star
CG does not lower the drop rates on double drop nodes, that's absurd. However, they have been known to lower the drop rate for whatever toon you currently want. I've learned that the trick to beating them at their own game is to farm characters that I don't want, you should try it.
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Edit: without doubledrop it would be 9.6%, but there is a good thread about the law of large numbers in Gerneral right now, so you maybe wanna check it out.
actually, that's a 9.6% droprate.
That's 5/15, 8/15, 4/15 so a touch over 33% for me at 17/45.
You don't need double drops or a desired character to get a bad drop day/week.