I get between 2-3 shards for every 10 tries in the cantina. I'm getting worse than that from the Hard areas. I earned 2 shards for Anakin after 18 tries or 3 days
For me it's varying depending on who I farm actually:
Chewie/JC 3~4/10
Kylo Ren 4/10
Mace Windu 1~2/10
Yes, I've actually refilled many times to notice such a big difference between Kylo and Mace. Mace I've been farming for over 2 weeks now (accounting the days to farm for Kylo) and I'm still at only 74/80 Shards. Kylo on the other side I got to 80/80 after 5 days (2 refills + naturals every day and those free shards). That's almost exactly 40% drop rate.
I chose 1 every 10 battles (I play them on auto, I use SIM cards for farming materials) because it's the closest one to the truth. I'm currently farming the Talia node, and a better answer would be 1 or none every energy bar. In the first node I have better results, 1 or 2 every energy bar.
Hero shard drop rates are different for each hero.
Talia was my first 7☆ Hero from Cantina farming.
How do you know this? It would seem hard to prove rates. You'd need to utilize multiple accounts to determine a statistically accurate drop rate for a single character and you'd need to do that with multiple characters. Has anyone actually done that?
I need to update my rating. the last three days its been 8% or less, as in 8/100. I have a spreadsheet I update each day so I have pretty good record keeping for these things.
I need to update my rating. the last three days its been 8% or less, as in 8/100. I have a spreadsheet I update each day so I have pretty good record keeping for these things.
yeah, i've been keeping track on excel for the past 20 days. once i have a month's worth of data, i'll review it
Cantina drop rates have really "dropped" for me... Taking me forever to get Kylo... I've been stuck for quite awhile with spending all my energy and sims on that one level. I think it randomizes personally - I was racking up real well for a bit then it seems to have "reset" over the past few days. I guess I'll just have to ride it out.
Yeah but gang, we are not gathering data the correct way. Even the OP poll is flawed (still an awesome idea, kudos). Nobody has kept an accurate account of every Cantina Battle they have done. Even then, the numbers you need to find a semi-accurate drop rate would be 1,000 tries at the minimum. That is how data works. Sure, we can provide anecdotal evidence (today I got blah blah) and extrapolate from that, but in reality, we need a group of people keeping track of every draw for as long as possible.
We can guess the drop rate is 15%, and that numbers seems legit insofar as it would be hard to argue otherwise with only our own personal anecdotal evidence (which is all we have), but we will never truly know the rate until we play the long game, together.
I will begin tonight and follow up a few weeks from now. Please do the same. Do not provide a drop rate without a minimum of 100 attempts please. Do not just makeup a number and post it. That trolly nonsense sets back real, tangible progress.
Yeah but gang, we are not gathering data the correct way. Even the OP poll is flawed (still an awesome idea, kudos). Nobody has kept an accurate account of every Cantina Battle they have done. Even then, the numbers you need to find a semi-accurate drop rate would be 1,000 tries at the minimum. That is how data works. Sure, we can provide anecdotal evidence (today I got blah blah) and extrapolate from that, but in reality, we need a group of people keeping track of every draw for as long as possible.
We can guess the drop rate is 15%, and that numbers seems legit insofar as it would be hard to argue otherwise with only our own personal anecdotal evidence (which is all we have), but we will never truly know the rate until we play the long game, together.
I will begin tonight and follow up a few weeks from now. Please do the same. Do not provide a drop rate without a minimum of 100 attempts please. Do not just makeup a number and post it. That trolly nonsense sets back real, tangible progress.
Yeah but gang, we are not gathering data the correct way. Even the OP poll is flawed (still an awesome idea, kudos). Nobody has kept an accurate account of every Cantina Battle they have done. Even then, the numbers you need to find a semi-accurate drop rate would be 1,000 tries at the minimum. That is how data works. Sure, we can provide anecdotal evidence (today I got blah blah) and extrapolate from that, but in reality, we need a group of people keeping track of every draw for as long as possible.
We can guess the drop rate is 15%, and that numbers seems legit insofar as it would be hard to argue otherwise with only our own personal anecdotal evidence (which is all we have), but we will never truly know the rate until we play the long game, together.
I will begin tonight and follow up a few weeks from now. Please do the same. Do not provide a drop rate without a minimum of 100 attempts please. Do not just makeup a number and post it. That trolly nonsense sets back real, tangible progress.
I have 21 days of drops recorded, with a minimum of 504 attempts logged. I alluded to this in my earlier post. at 30 days I will review my data
Replies
Isn't that the truth. In my experience, when I'm under 5 shards left til the next star, I'd welcome 1/10
sad day
Chewie/JC 3~4/10
Kylo Ren 4/10
Mace Windu 1~2/10
Yes, I've actually refilled many times to notice such a big difference between Kylo and Mace. Mace I've been farming for over 2 weeks now (accounting the days to farm for Kylo) and I'm still at only 74/80 Shards. Kylo on the other side I got to 80/80 after 5 days (2 refills + naturals every day and those free shards). That's almost exactly 40% drop rate.
Talia was my first 7☆ Hero from Cantina farming.
Guild: Fear The Boot
1-10 if lucky
How do you know this? It would seem hard to prove rates. You'd need to utilize multiple accounts to determine a statistically accurate drop rate for a single character and you'd need to do that with multiple characters. Has anyone actually done that?
She was also by far my first 7* as well. Cantina is generous for her!
My best luck is during the day when I only have 20ish energy. I always get 1 or both shards.
yeah, i've been keeping track on excel for the past 20 days. once i have a month's worth of data, i'll review it
Still love the game -
and I thought 5/36 today was very bad, granted 3 of those came off my second refill of the day so I was 2/24 before that.
We can guess the drop rate is 15%, and that numbers seems legit insofar as it would be hard to argue otherwise with only our own personal anecdotal evidence (which is all we have), but we will never truly know the rate until we play the long game, together.
I will begin tonight and follow up a few weeks from now. Please do the same. Do not provide a drop rate without a minimum of 100 attempts please. Do not just makeup a number and post it. That trolly nonsense sets back real, tangible progress.
I have 21 days of drops recorded, with a minimum of 504 attempts logged. I alluded to this in my earlier post. at 30 days I will review my data